The Twins, determined to continue stocking their rotation with yawn-inducing pitch-to-contact types, have signed Kevin Correia to a two-year deal worth $10 million. Correia has spent the last two seasons with the Pirates and seems to have a reputation as a solid starting pitcher despite the fact that he is actually quite terrible. Perhaps the surface stats don’t bear it out at first glance, but Correia has actually been quite the hindrance to the success of his teams over the past three seasons.
Correia, 32, has been worth just under one win above replacement from 2010-2012 according to FanGraphs. I’m not even kidding. The Twins must have gotten all hot and bothered over his 34 wins in that span, or perhaps his 4.21 ERA last season, but the advanced metrics show a pitcher who simply isn’t worth having in a starting rotation. Over the last two seasons, Correia has simply forgotten how to strike anyone out at all, putting up K/9 rates of 4.50 and 4.68 in 2011 and 2012. He has also lowered his walk rate, but the truth remains that he’s a pretty good candidate to get hit hard early and often.
I just can’t believe that the Twins were willing to give Correia a two-year deal for this much money. It’s a complete waste, and there’s virtually no way he even approaches earning the money he’ll be paid. There are just too many other options out there that are more financially prudent or better for an organization wanting not to embarrass itself. It’s crazy when the same free agent market can contain this deal and the one that relocated Brandon McCarthy to Arizona. The McCarthy deal is for $5 million additional and also spans two years. I mean, how does a team commit to Kevin Correia when a deal like that was able to get done? Oh, baseball.